Rates on hold the right decision says Raine & Horne

Media release - 3rd November, 2015

Today’s decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia to leave the official cash rate on hold at 2% is a sensible move, according to Angus Raine, Executive Chairman, Raine & Horne.

“With the move by the big four banks to lift variable mortgage interest rates, slowing inflation levels and the clamour to talk down the Sydney and Melbourne property markets, a rate cut was a possibility in the minds of some economists,” said Angus Raine, Executive Chairman, Raine & Horne.

“However the RBA governor doesn’t strike me as someone who spooks easily, and the RBA has taken the sensible move to check more local and international data before tweaking the monetary policy levers again.”

On the plus side, the lower Australian dollar is doing some of the RBA’s work for it, according to Mr Raine, while recent business data suggests the manufacturing sector is enjoying a burst of good health.

“We are also seeing signs that property markets in Northern Australia and South East Queensland are starting to attract more southern state investor capital,” said Mr Raine.

Talk that the Sydney real estate market is tanking is wide of the mark, according to Mr Raine.

“Real estate markets in Sydney are returning to a more normal market where we might have 2 or 3 committed bidders at auctions rather than the situation a few months back where the fear of missing out (FOMO) saw more like 6-8 groups jostling for the prize,” said Mr Raine. 

“We often forget that each vendor only needs to attract one buyer for a property to transact and there are still plenty of committed buyers in the market for quality, well-located Sydney real estate – it’s just that they feel they have more time to make a decision.

“We are also seeing that those vendors who are working with a good agent, are being more realistic about their price expectations.”

Long-term, Mr Raine is confident Sydney real estate will continue to produce excellent returns for owner-occupiers and investors.

“Take the Australian Population Research Institute findings that were released yesterday, indicating that Sydney will need an extra 309,000 homes in six years’ time,” said Mr Raine.

“Lack of stock will continue to underpin long-term values in Sydney, and Melbourne too for that matter, as both cities are the engine rooms of the Australian economy and also great places to live.”

Dawn Inanli, General Manager of Raine & Horne’s financial services division, Our Broker, believes a boost in consumer confidence had also prompted the RBA to leave the official cash rate on hold.

“Consumer confidence rose 1.6% in the week ending 1 November,” said Ms Inanli.

“With consumer confidence on the rise – even after recent moves by the major banks on variable mortgage rate increases – the general consensus was that the cash rate would be left on hold today.

“It looks like the improvement in consumer confidence could be aligned to the recent government changes, which have seen the installation of a new prime minister and cabinet.”

ENDS

For further media information contact:

Andrew Harrington, National Communications Manager, Raine & Horne, on 02 9258 5400